"/>
欧美精品在线第一页,久久av影院,午夜视频在线播放一三,久久91精品久久久久久秒播,成人一区三区,久久综合狠狠综合久久狠狠色综合,成人av一区二区亚洲精,欧美a级在线观看
Analysts remain cautious on Malaysian economy despite central bank's rosy forecast
Source: Xinhua   2018-03-29 15:41:33

KUALA LUMPUR, March 29 (Xinhua) -- Analysts remain cautious on the Malaysian economy amid global policy uncertainties, although Malaysian Central Bank is more upbeat on the country's growth this year.

Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) on Wednesday projected the country's economy to grow faster at 5.5 percent to 6 percent, mainly driven by sustained domestic demand. The forecast exceeds Malaysian government earlier assumption of 5 percent to 5.5 percent.

Malaysia's economy grew at 5.9 percent in 2017, driven mainly by private sector spending.

"We opine that BNM's macro projections are broadly realistic. Its projection in 2018 is envisaged on stronger global growth prospects and positive spillover to the domestic economy through increased wages and higher investment activity," said Hong Leong Investment Bank Research in its note Thursday.

The research house, however, noted that its growth projection of 5.3 percent was premised on the assumption that global growth will be more moderate as base effect eventually comes to an end.

"While we acknowledge our growth forecast may be conservative, we also feel that the upside risk of higher-than-expected global growth is partly offset by downside risk of increased financial market volatility emanating from policy uncertainties," it added.

Maybank Investment Bank Research also said in its report it maintained its 2018 real gross domestic product growth forecast of 5.3 percent.

"There are no changes to our other key forecasts for this year, except for the change in crude oil price average to 65 U.S. dollars per barrel from 60 U.S. dollars per barrel, which is supportive of our foreign exchange research forecast of further strengthening in Malaysian Ringgit against U.S. dollars," it said.

The research house estimated the Ringgit to end the year at 3.65 against the U.S. dollars, from 4.05 last year.

"With the revised official growth forecast being just marginally above the potential output growth of 5 percent to 5.5 percent, and the official inflation rate forecast trimmed to 2 percent to 3 percent from 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent previously, these appear supportive of our 'one and done' view on BNM's overnight policy rate i.e. staying at 3.25 percent for the rest of the year after the 25 basis point hike in January," it said.

Meanwhile, Kenanga Research's forecast of 5.5 percent growth remained at the lower end of BNM's growth range of 5.5 percent to 6 percent.

"This reflects our believe that growth already passes its peak in the second half last year and the reason it is still riding high is because there is still no let-up in the growth momentum. This is primarily due to the extension of the tech upcycle and the higher fiscal spending run up to the upcoming 14th General Election (GE14)," it said.

However, its forecast assumed higher public expenditure activities of 1.6 percent compared to BNM's 0.6 percent, in light of stronger fiscal push ahead of the upcoming GE14.

The research house's exports growth forecast is also lower at 6.9 percent compared to BNM's 8.4 percent as it expects trade to moderate in the second half as the tech upcycle is expected to taper and the higher base of last year.

The research house also remains cautious on trade flows moving forward as it is concerned about the impact of Trump administration's tariffs on trade and the possibility of similar retaliation by other major economies.

Editor: pengying
Related News
Xinhuanet

Analysts remain cautious on Malaysian economy despite central bank's rosy forecast

Source: Xinhua 2018-03-29 15:41:33
[Editor: huaxia]

KUALA LUMPUR, March 29 (Xinhua) -- Analysts remain cautious on the Malaysian economy amid global policy uncertainties, although Malaysian Central Bank is more upbeat on the country's growth this year.

Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) on Wednesday projected the country's economy to grow faster at 5.5 percent to 6 percent, mainly driven by sustained domestic demand. The forecast exceeds Malaysian government earlier assumption of 5 percent to 5.5 percent.

Malaysia's economy grew at 5.9 percent in 2017, driven mainly by private sector spending.

"We opine that BNM's macro projections are broadly realistic. Its projection in 2018 is envisaged on stronger global growth prospects and positive spillover to the domestic economy through increased wages and higher investment activity," said Hong Leong Investment Bank Research in its note Thursday.

The research house, however, noted that its growth projection of 5.3 percent was premised on the assumption that global growth will be more moderate as base effect eventually comes to an end.

"While we acknowledge our growth forecast may be conservative, we also feel that the upside risk of higher-than-expected global growth is partly offset by downside risk of increased financial market volatility emanating from policy uncertainties," it added.

Maybank Investment Bank Research also said in its report it maintained its 2018 real gross domestic product growth forecast of 5.3 percent.

"There are no changes to our other key forecasts for this year, except for the change in crude oil price average to 65 U.S. dollars per barrel from 60 U.S. dollars per barrel, which is supportive of our foreign exchange research forecast of further strengthening in Malaysian Ringgit against U.S. dollars," it said.

The research house estimated the Ringgit to end the year at 3.65 against the U.S. dollars, from 4.05 last year.

"With the revised official growth forecast being just marginally above the potential output growth of 5 percent to 5.5 percent, and the official inflation rate forecast trimmed to 2 percent to 3 percent from 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent previously, these appear supportive of our 'one and done' view on BNM's overnight policy rate i.e. staying at 3.25 percent for the rest of the year after the 25 basis point hike in January," it said.

Meanwhile, Kenanga Research's forecast of 5.5 percent growth remained at the lower end of BNM's growth range of 5.5 percent to 6 percent.

"This reflects our believe that growth already passes its peak in the second half last year and the reason it is still riding high is because there is still no let-up in the growth momentum. This is primarily due to the extension of the tech upcycle and the higher fiscal spending run up to the upcoming 14th General Election (GE14)," it said.

However, its forecast assumed higher public expenditure activities of 1.6 percent compared to BNM's 0.6 percent, in light of stronger fiscal push ahead of the upcoming GE14.

The research house's exports growth forecast is also lower at 6.9 percent compared to BNM's 8.4 percent as it expects trade to moderate in the second half as the tech upcycle is expected to taper and the higher base of last year.

The research house also remains cautious on trade flows moving forward as it is concerned about the impact of Trump administration's tariffs on trade and the possibility of similar retaliation by other major economies.

[Editor: huaxia]
010020070750000000000000011100001370745661
主站蜘蛛池模板: 久久精品国产亚| 国产精品影音先锋| 99精品黄色| 日韩av在线中文| 欧美日韩中文字幕一区| 91亚洲欧美强伦三区麻豆| 国产91久久久久久久免费| 麻豆精品久久久| 日本免费电影一区二区| 欧美日韩一二三四区| 午夜亚洲影院| 国产福利一区在线观看| 日韩精品1区2区3区| 国产精品久久久久99| 国产精品久久免费视频| 99国产精品99久久久久久粉嫩| 99精品国产一区二区三区不卡| 国产高清精品一区| 国产一区二区伦理片| 97人人添人人爽一区二区三区| 欧美高清性xxxxhdvideos| 免费久久一级欧美特大黄| 中文字幕理伦片免费看| 99久久国产综合精品女不卡| 国内少妇自拍视频一区| 在线电影一区二区| 久久97国产| 日韩三区三区一区区欧69国产 | 日本一区二区三区免费视频| 99国产精品久久久久老师| 91超薄丝袜肉丝一区二区| 日本精品视频一区二区三区| 国产精品色在线网站| 午夜无人区免费网站| 高清欧美精品xxxxx| 国产高清在线观看一区| 国产精品自拍在线观看| 精品视频在线一区二区三区| 亚洲乱小说| 亚洲欧美日韩国产综合精品二区| 久久99精品一区二区三区| 国产一级在线免费观看| 欧洲在线一区二区| 国产精品1234区| 日韩精品免费播放| 玖玖爱国产精品| 国产精品久久久久久亚洲调教| 性色av色香蕉一区二区| 国产精一区二区三区| 久久精品男人的天堂| 久久影视一区二区| 狠狠色噜噜狠狠狠888奇米| 久久久精品欧美一区二区免费| 国产欧美精品一区二区三区小说| 国产一区午夜| 国产麻豆精品久久| 国产综合亚洲精品| 欧美一区二区精品久久| 亚洲欧美一区二区三区1000| 免费毛片a| 欧美日韩国产一区二区三区在线观看 | 欧洲在线一区| 日韩中文字幕亚洲精品欧美| 又黄又爽又刺激久久久久亚洲精品 | 狠狠色噜噜狠狠狠狠米奇7777| 精品国产一区二区在线| 26uuu亚洲国产精品| 欧美日韩精品影院| av午夜影院| 亚洲欧洲日本在线观看| 欧美片一区二区| 中文字幕欧美另类精品亚洲| 国产91白嫩清纯初高中在线| 欧美精品日韩| 国内精品久久久久影院日本| 国产日韩精品久久| 午夜国产一区| 99久久婷婷国产综合精品草原 | 免费精品一区二区三区视频日产| 国产人澡人澡澡澡人碰视| 国产乱淫精品一区二区三区毛片| 99精品国产一区二区三区不卡 |